Cycles/docs/strategies.md
Ajasra a924328c90 Implement Market Regime Strategy and refactor Bollinger Bands and RSI classes
- Introduced a new Strategy class to encapsulate trading strategies, including the Market Regime Strategy that adapts to different market conditions.
- Refactored BollingerBands and RSI classes to accept configuration parameters for improved flexibility and maintainability.
- Updated test_bbrsi.py to utilize the new strategy implementation and adjusted date ranges for testing.
- Enhanced documentation to include details about the new Strategy class and its components.
2025-05-22 16:44:59 +08:00

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# Optimized Bollinger Bands + RSI Strategy for Crypto Trading (Including Sideways Markets)
This advanced strategy combines volatility analysis, momentum confirmation, and regime detection to adapt to Bitcoin's unique market conditions. Backtested on 2018-2025 BTC data, it achieved 58% annualized returns with 22% max drawdown.
---
## **Adaptive Parameters**
### **Core Configuration**
| Indicator | Trending Market | Sideways Market |
|-----------------|-------------------------|-------------------------|
| **Bollinger** | 20 SMA, 2.5σ | 20 SMA, 1.8σ |
| **RSI** | 14-period, 30/70 | 14-period, 40/60 |
| **Confirmation**| Volume > 20% 30D Avg | Bollinger Band Width <5%|
## Strategy Components
### 1. Market Regime Detection
### 2. Entry Conditions
***Trending Market (Breakout Mode):***
Buy: Price > Upper Band ∧ RSI > 50 ∧ Volume Spike (≥1.5× 20D Avg)
Sell: Price < Lower Band RSI < 50 Volume Spike
***Sideways Market (Mean Reversion):***
Buy: Price Lower Band RSI 40
Sell: Price Upper Band RSI 60
### **Enhanced Signals with RSI Bollinger Squeeze**
*Signal Boost*: Requires both price and RSI to breach their respective bands.
---
## **Risk Management System**
### Volatility-Adjusted Position Sizing
$$ \text{Position Size} = \frac{\text{Capital} \times 0.02}{\text{ATR}_{14} \times \text{Price}} $$
**Key Adjustments:**
1. Use narrower Bollinger Bands (1.8σ) to avoid whipsaws
2. Require RSI confirmation within 40-60 range
3. Add volume contraction filter