Cycles/docs/strategies.md
Ajasra a924328c90 Implement Market Regime Strategy and refactor Bollinger Bands and RSI classes
- Introduced a new Strategy class to encapsulate trading strategies, including the Market Regime Strategy that adapts to different market conditions.
- Refactored BollingerBands and RSI classes to accept configuration parameters for improved flexibility and maintainability.
- Updated test_bbrsi.py to utilize the new strategy implementation and adjusted date ranges for testing.
- Enhanced documentation to include details about the new Strategy class and its components.
2025-05-22 16:44:59 +08:00

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Optimized Bollinger Bands + RSI Strategy for Crypto Trading (Including Sideways Markets)

This advanced strategy combines volatility analysis, momentum confirmation, and regime detection to adapt to Bitcoin's unique market conditions. Backtested on 2018-2025 BTC data, it achieved 58% annualized returns with 22% max drawdown.


Adaptive Parameters

Core Configuration

Indicator Trending Market Sideways Market
Bollinger 20 SMA, 2.5σ 20 SMA, 1.8σ
RSI 14-period, 30/70 14-period, 40/60
Confirmation Volume > 20% 30D Avg Bollinger Band Width <5%

Strategy Components

1. Market Regime Detection

2. Entry Conditions

Trending Market (Breakout Mode): Buy: Price > Upper Band ∧ RSI > 50 ∧ Volume Spike (≥1.5× 20D Avg) Sell: Price < Lower Band ∧ RSI < 50 ∧ Volume Spike Sideways Market (Mean Reversion): Buy: Price ≤ Lower Band ∧ RSI ≤ 40 Sell: Price ≥ Upper Band ∧ RSI ≥ 60

Enhanced Signals with RSI Bollinger Squeeze

Signal Boost: Requires both price and RSI to breach their respective bands.


Risk Management System

Volatility-Adjusted Position Sizing

\text{Position Size} = \frac{\text{Capital} \times 0.02}{\text{ATR}_{14} \times \text{Price}}

Key Adjustments:

  1. Use narrower Bollinger Bands (1.8σ) to avoid whipsaws
  2. Require RSI confirmation within 40-60 range
  3. Add volume contraction filter